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Mrs Farzaneh Vafadar, Dr Ghodratollah Emamverdi, Dr Abolfazl Ghiasvand, Dr Marjan Damankeshideh,
Volume 15, Issue 55 (5-2024)
Abstract

Due to the wide trade relationship between the countries of the world and the economic dependence of the countries on the global economy, the boom or record in the great economic powers of the world will quickly affect the economy of other countries.
In recent years, China has become one of the largest economic powers in the world and has been one of Iran's main trading partners for many years and is one of the countries that can have the greatest impact on Iran's economy.
On the other hand, due to the tightening of international sanctions on Iran in recent years, many measures have been taken to expand trade relations with other countries and attract foreign capital, among which the role of China as the main trading partner of Iran is prominent and it is necessary to reduce the shocks caused by To know the changes in China's economic growth and their effect on the macroeconomic indicators of the country.
Accordingly, the present study examines the effect of China's economic growth shocks on Iran's real GDP, inflation rate, and non-oil exports. In this regard, (GVAR) model and seasonal data from 1992 to 2022 for 34 major trading partner countries of Iran have been used.
The results of the study showed that the effect of a positive shock in China's real GDP on Iran's real GDP is positive in the short term, but in the long term, the said shock is negative and in the direction of its reduction. In relation to inflation, the effect of a positive shock to China's real production on Iran's inflation rate has always been positive and negative on Iran's non-oil exports.
Dr Ali Asghar Esmailnia Ketabi, Mr Mojtaba Khani, Dr Ghodratollah Emamverdi, Dr Hooshang Momeni,
Volume 15, Issue 56 (8-2024)
Abstract

Study and modeling for appropriate planning and policy-making in the energy sector to ensure energy security (security of supply for consumers of crude oil and natural gas;security of demand for exporting economic enterprises) and consequently ensuring maximum intergenerational benefits is of great importance. Iran is a producer and exporter of oil and gas; and in such countries, the economy generally relies on oil and gas revenues. Naturally, it is necessary to maximize the profit from oil and gas revenues through planning for optimal production from oil and gas fields as a necessity. In this study, prioritizing the optimal solutions for allocating natural gas to various sectors including construction, industry (petrochemicals), transportation (in the form of compressed natural gas), power generation, export, injection into oil wells to increase recovery, relying on modeling the production chain, supply, natural gas injection in the oil field, and the added value from the injection, has been investigated by LEAP software, taking into account real and operational constraints, taking into account the South Pars gas source
 



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