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Showing 3 results for Subsidies

Hassan Rangriz, Hooman Pashootanizadeh,
Volume 5, Issue 17 (10-2014)
Abstract

In this study, the electrical energy consumption in Tehran before reduction subsidies and after targeting subsidies was examined with using a dataset collected from household subscribers Tehran Electricity Distribution Company from August 2000 to November 2012. After review and analysis values, a model was proposed for predicting power consumption. The proposed model was a combination of trigonometric coefficients and power factors. The best values were obtained by using a genetic algorithm.
Procedure of electrical energy consumption in Tehran after Implementation of subsidies reduction plan was compared with the predicted model of electrical energy consumption in Tehran before Implementation that plan. The results indicated that implementation of subsidies reduction plan reduced electrical consumption growth rates and also a little reduced consumption rate. The other results of this study contain consumption patterns in order to manage the future consumption level of electrical consumers in Tehran. Also the results showed that, because demand for electricity is inelastic to price and income in the short time, as a result price policies cannot be effective in controlling the electricity demand, then should use non-price and intensive policies to reduce the consumption of electricity.
Hiva Rahiminia, Beitollah Akbari Moghadam, Mohamad Reza Monjazeb,
Volume 6, Issue 19 (3-2015)
Abstract

Social and economic impact of change in the subsidies payment policy have been concern in past recent years. In this paper, a Computable General Equilibrium model is used to analyze the impact of change in subsidies payment system from indirect to direct state, on the price and quantity variables of domestic production and employment level economic sectors in two scenarios. The basic data are used in the framework of SAM year 2001. CGE model establishes the relations between accounts of SAM into a set of simultaneous nonlinear equations, by using the modern general equilibrium theory. In first scenario, indirect subsidy of manufacturing and services sectors is remove and its full payment in cash to the urban and rural households. In second scenarios, indirect subsidy of manufacturing and services sectors is remove and its direct payment to the proportions of 50. 30 and 20 percent to the households, economic sectors and Government respectively. The results show that by change in subsidy payment, composition of production and employment in economic sectors are change. The greatest decrease in domestic production and employment level and also the highest increase in the prices level is observed in the transport products. The mining sector is only sector that is face with positive production growth rate in both scenarios, and for most sector, a decline is forecast. But GDP level is face with decline to equal 2.78 percent respectively in first scenario and 3.05 percent in second scenario. In the end, with comparing two scenarios show that more the direct subsidies paid to households increase, more the domestic production of  some sector growth.


Sepideh Yasharel, Magid Habibian Naghibi,
Volume 7, Issue 23 (3-2016)
Abstract

Targeted subsidies plan affects income distribution and poverty through several channels. On most of the analyzies, changes on labor supply are not considered. Increasing nominal income alone after paying cash subsidy rule can reduce labor supply in targeted subsidies. This issue may decrease effect of targeted subsidies. In this research by CGE we calculate the result of impact of energy price increase and direct cash subsidy transfer with considering labor supply decrease in the first phase of this plan. Then we use this CGE data to calculate the poverty index and income distribution. The model is calibrated based on 2001 Micro Consistent Matrix (MCM) designed by Research Institute of Planning and Management Deputy Strategic Planning and Control. The results of the model show that while the plan reduce supply of labor, it improve income distribution and poverty in Iran. The results also reveal that the percentage of improvement in purchasing power of rural deciles is more than the percentage of improvement in purchasing power of urban deciles.



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