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Intelligent Modeling of Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Shocks on Output in Iran(Neural Network Application)
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Mohamad Ali MotafakkerAzad   , Aidin Ghafarnejad Mehraban |
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Abstract: (20400 Views) |
| Monetary shocks are one of the control tools in economic systems. A true perception of these shocks on economic systems can lead us to a suitable policy. In this paper, the impact of monetary shocks on output in Iran has been modeled and investigated using artificial neural networks. We investigated positive and negative shocks separately and confirmed asymmetric effect of these shocks. In addition, nonlinear natures of output changes considering magnitude of shocks were obtained.
Results show that optimal condition of monetary shocks to gain maximum output growth can be reached using artificial neural network. In other words, symmetric or asymmetric behavior of monetary shocks depends on economic situation in considered year or period. In addition to, investigation of monetary shocks effect (positive or negative impact) on the production changes, depending on the shock value and this shocks do not have an only particular Effect on production changes. Its can be different. |
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| Keywords: Asymmetric Effect, Monetary Shocks, Neural network |
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Type of Study: Applicable |
Subject:
پولی و مالی
Received: 2011/02/12 | Accepted: 2011/11/27 | Published: 2011/09/15
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