Volume 12, Issue 46 And 795 (9-2025)
Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2025, 12(46 And 795): 19-48 |
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arekhi S, Kour H A, Emadaddian S. Modeling and forecasting the risk of forest degradation on the emitting amount of carbon dioxide gas using the REDD model (Case study: Cities of Chalus and Nowshahr). Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2025; 12 (46 and 795) : 2
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3456-en.html
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3456-en.html
1- golestan university , arekhi1348@yahoo.com
2- golestan university
3- stan university
2- golestan university
3- stan university
Abstract: (2718 Views)
Reducing the emissions caused by deforestation and forest degradation REDD is a strategy to moderate climate change, which is used to reduce the intensity of deforestation and greenhouse gas emissions in developing countries. In the last few decades, drastic changes in land use have caused a significant decrease in Hyrkan forests located in Mazandaran province. For this purpose, the aim of this study is to investigate the changes in land use and its prediction for the year 2050 using the Markov chain and the REDD project to reduce carbon dioxide emissions for the cities of Nowshahr and Chalus. Using the images of TM and ETM+ sensors of Landsat satellite, a land use map has been prepared in three time periods related to the years 1989, 2000 and 2021. Maximum likelihood method was used to classify images from supervised classification. From the error matrix, the Kappa coefficient in this evaluation was equal to 0.83 for 1989, 0.81 for 2000, and 0.92 for 2021. The results show that the forest cover decreases in 2050. In contrast, the area of range land, city, barren land, agriculture and wetland will increase. Based on the goals of the REDD project, the amount of carbon dioxide emissions was calculated until 2050. If the REDD project is not implemented, a large area of forest cover will be destroyed and a lot of carbon dioxide is released. The amount of carbon dioxide in the project area in 2021 is 49,681 tons and will reach 806,732 tons by 2051, and with the implementation of the REDD project in the region, this amount of gas can be increased to the equivalent of 402,321 tons. 404411 tons of carbon dioxide was prevented from entering the upper atmosphere of the earth. Examining changes using satellite images can help managers and planners to make more informed decisions.
Article number: 2
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
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Received: 2024/08/6 | Accepted: 2025/03/2 | Published: 2025/09/9
Received: 2024/08/6 | Accepted: 2025/03/2 | Published: 2025/09/9
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