Volume 12, Issue 1 And 45 (8-2025)
Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2025, 12(1 And 45): 81-98 |
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Soleimani M, Nemati T, Karami T, Zanganeh A, Parizadi T. Analysis of spatial distribution patterns of population aging in Tehran metropolis. Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2025; 12 (1 and 45) : 6
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3491-en.html
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3491-en.html
1- Kharazmi University , m_soleimani_mehr@khu.ac.ir
2- Kharazmi University
2- Kharazmi University
Abstract: (1535 Views)
Aging is one of the most prominent indicators of demographic decline that most modern societies experience. At this stage of demographic decline, alongside a decrease and stabilization of mortality rates, birth rates also sharply decline. The development of technology and the mechanization of tasks, the improvement of quality of life and health-related indicators, individual-centered lifestyles, and increased economic inflation are significant factors in this issue. Iran is also among the countries on the verge of entering the stage of demographic decline. However, the intensity of this trend varies in different regions of the country. This article examines and analyzes the state of aging in the neighborhoods of the metropolis of Tehran. This research falls into the category of applied research in terms of purpose and is descriptive-analytical in terms of method. The research is based on the census data from 2016 and utilizes spatial statistical analyses. The positive values of Moran's autocorrelation analysis for each of the indices: aging (0.664), old-age dependency ratio (0.644), youth ratio (0.653), aging ratio (0.664), and aging index (0.665) in the neighborhoods of Tehran indicate a clustered pattern. This means that the issue of aging is more acute in some neighborhoods and areas of Tehran. Accordingly, the density of the elderly population is higher in most neighborhoods of the central and northern parts of the city. The final result shows that the distribution of the elderly space follows the logic of the social macro-ecology of Tehran and is relatively consistent with its natural-social topography. Furthermore, the spatial analysis of aging in the neighborhoods of this city shows that although all neighborhoods generally grapple with the issue of aging, planning and management should be based on the patterns and nature of the spatial distribution of this issue.
Article number: 6
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
Special
Received: 2025/04/16 | Accepted: 2025/08/10 | Published: 2025/08/10
Received: 2025/04/16 | Accepted: 2025/08/10 | Published: 2025/08/10
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