D.r Morad Kavianirad, D.r Asiyeh Sephvand,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-1921)
Abstract
The water transfer of Lorestan province to desert areas, mismanagement of water resources, lowering of underground water level and reduction of surface water have created many hydropolitical challenges in this province and Lorestan is facing hydropolitical challenges in its basins. He has built a river in front of him. Identifying these challenges now and in the future can prevent future problems and crises. In the current research, the aim is to analyze the hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province using the future research approach. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and mixed method (quantitative and qualitative). The statistical community was experts/experts in water, economic, political issues and geographic and social science researchers. Using the non-probability sampling method, 30 experts were selected by targeted sound and theoretical saturation. To collect the data, the questionnaire of mutual effects of future research was used. Structural model and MICMAC software were used to analyze the data. The results of the research showed the forced migration of young people to industrial and desert areas (+23), the creation of conflicts in virtual networks regarding water resources and its transfer (+23), the decrease in the production of products due to water scarcity (+15), the increase Conflict between individuals and water exploiting groups (farmers, government, industry) (+13), occurrence of local and ethnic conflict and strife over water resources (+13), decrease in political security (+13), imbalance in the protection of The environment (+11) and the quantitative and qualitative decline of surface and underground water resources (+6) are the most important hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province. In line with the research, suggestions were given for the current research and future research. The enlightenment of this research, unlike previous studies, is the identification of hydropolitical challenges from the perspective of river basins and the future research approach.
Dr. Morad Kavianirad, Dr Yadollah Karimi Pour, Dr. Hedayat Fahmi, Mr. Sadegh Karami,
Volume 17, Issue 46 (9-2017)
Abstract
Efforts to provide security have always been of great importance to human being. In recent decades, the security issues of climate change have attracted attentions due to its sustainable consequences on the lives and civilization of humans. Among all countries, the ones which are placed in draught belt, like our country Iran, have hurt a lot because of low precipitations and also mismanagements in water resources control. Climate change show itself by changes in precipitation patterns, reduction of precipitation and increasing of temperature. According to the present data, Iran's central drainage basin which consists of important geopolitical provinces, has been affected by the above mentioned factors. This descriptive-analytic research is carried out based on the effects of climate change on Iran's central basin which provides approximately 48 percent of Iran’s GDP. Continuity of climate changes in this region can make critical problems in social, environmental, economic and political scales and the lives of the citizens would be affected as well. To conclude, the persistence of the current conditions in climate change in the central drainage basin of Iran, would result in challenges through the national stability and security.
