Sedigheh Mohammad Panah, Hamidreza Varesi, Masoud Taghavei,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-1921)
Abstract
The use of structural analysis of development drivers helps planning to better understand the development situation of the provinces and improves the regional balance during decision making. For this purpose, the ten cities of Ilam province were examined in terms of combined development indicators in the form of 44 indicators. This research is an applied study in terms of targeting and in terms of methodology, it has been done in a "descriptive-analytical" way and is explanatory based on new methods of futurology. Theoretical data have been prepared by documentary method and experimental data by survey method. The development drives has been extracted from the documentary method and environmental scanning and experimental data based on the survey method based on the Delphi method. In data processing, structural interaction analysis method has been used in MIC MAC software. Findings in terms of interaction analysis indicate the dispersion of propulsive forces in a complex and intermediate situation of impact and effectiveness; the drivers clustering system indicates the focus of effective and regulatory drivers. Among the 44 driving forces of development, the effective drivers of development are the borders of Ilam province and the manner of managers' decisions. Research results show that development in Ilam province is not only unbalanced, but the imbalance trend applied towards more inequality and only by better and more comprehensive planning can be partially eliminated inequalities.