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Showing 143 results for تحلیل

Sayyed Mohammad Hosseini,
Volume 26, Issue 80 (3-2026)
Abstract

for the spatial analysis of precipitation in the Middle East, have been used gridded precipitation data from the World Precipitation Climatology Center (GPCC) with a monthly temporal resolution and a spatial resolution of 0.5×0.5 arc degrees. Therefore, a matrix of 80 x 160 dimensions was obtained for the Middle East region (160 longitudinal cells and 80 transverse cells). The reason for choosing network data is their proper spatial and temporal separation and their up-to-date compared to station data. The period under investigation is from 1970 to 2020 AD. Finally, the long-term maps of the Middle East precipitation were drawn on an annual and monthly basis. The results indicate that precipitation in the Middle East tends to concentrate and cluster in the spatial and temporal dimension. In other words, due to the special geographical location of the Middle East region, such as uneven topography, distance and proximity to moisture-feeding sources (Caspian Sea, Black Sea, Mediterranean Sea, Atlantic Ocean, and Indian Ocean) and the direction of unevenness, Precipitation in high altitude areas, It is concentrated in the neighborhood of seas and oceans and also in the windy slopes of the mountain range of the region. The uneven distribution of geographical conditions has caused uneven distribution of Precipitation in the Middle East. So that; The center and gravity of the Middle Eastern Precipitation is concentrated in the eastern end of the Black Sea, southern Turkey in the neighborhood of Syria and Iraq, the Ararat-Zagors belt in the west of Iran, the southern shore of the Caspian Sea, the Pamir highlands and the Bay of Bengal in India, and the Hindu Kush highlands in Pakistan. Is. However, the many parts of the Middle East, due to their proximity to large deserts (African Sahara, Lut Desert, Dasht-Kavir, Arabia's Rab-al-Khali and Afghan deserts), have less than 100 mm of Precipitation. The results showed that the maximum Precipitation of this region has been transferred to the winter season, and the summer season is still the driest period in the Middle East, and only the coasts of the Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal have monsoon rains

Mr. Ayat Jahanbani, Mr. Ali Shamie, Mr. Habib-O-Llah Fasihi, Mr. Taher Parizadi,
Volume 26, Issue 81 (6-2026)
Abstract

Resiliency is one of the approaches to reducing the vulnerability of communities and strengthening peoplechr('39')s ability to deal with the dangers of natural disasters, especially earthquakes, and has economic, social, institutional, physical, and environmental dimensions. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of nature and research method. The researcher-made questionnaire with 102 items was a tool for collecting research data. The sample size was 386 simple based on Cochranchr('39')s formulas and the sampling method was random. Exploratory factor analysis and path analysis were used in the SPSS25 software platform for data analysis and factor modeling. The results indicate that Parsabad city has the lowest scores in terms of social and physical resilience and is in a moderate to good condition; environmental resilience is in a moderate condition, institutional and economic resilience are in a bad situation. Also question factorization, 13 factors for social dimensions, (behavior during the crisis, crisis awareness, crisis preparedness, knowledge, cooperation, trust, assistance, reliance, interaction, accuracy, attitude, first aid, and necessary measures); 3 factors (Damages, Compensation and ability to return) for economic dimensions; 5 factors (performance of public institutions, the performance of semi-public institutions, institutional communication, institutional measures, and institutional context) for institutional resilience; 4 factors (open space, building resistance, public access and Relief access) for physical resilience and 3 factors (environmental, nutritional and soil factors) for environmental resilience. Finally, the modeling of resilience indicators for Parsabad city was presented.

Dr Saeedeh Fakhari,
Volume 26, Issue 81 (6-2026)
Abstract

Tehran’s District 12, as one of the capital’s cultural and tourism hubs, hosts a collection of prominent cultural institutions and museums that serve as major attractions for domestic and international visitors. However, the absence of systematic planning for routing between these centers leads to wasted time and energy for tourists and diminishes the quality of their visitation experience. This study aims to optimize museum visitation routes in Tehran’s District 12, focusing on minimizing travel time and distance, by selecting 22 active and significant museums in the area as case studies. To achieve this, the mathematical model of the Open Traveling Salesman Problem (Open TSP) was applied within the framework of network analysis in a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. Precise spatial data—including the geographic locations of museums and the local street network—were imported into ArcGIS software and processed using the Network Analyst tool. Travel cost matrices (based on time and distance) between all museum pairs were calculated, and optimal visitation routes were extracted and ranked using heuristic Open TSP algorithms according to the criteria of minimum time and shortest distance. Findings indicate that applying the Open TSP model within network analysis leads to the identification of significantly more efficient routes compared to conventional patterns or unplanned visits. Quantitative results show that, under normal (non-optimized) conditions, visiting all 22 museums covers a distance of 25.91 km with a travel time of 310 minutes, whereas the optimized proposed route requires only 9.896 km and 118 minutes of travel time. This improvement represents a 62% reduction in both distance and travel time. The study demonstrates the high efficiency of integrating combinatorial optimization models with GIS spatial analysis capabilities for urban tourism planning and can serve as a model for intelligent management of tourist visitation routes in other urban areas. The results enable informed decision-making and optimal planning for both group and individual visits, significantly enhancing the tourism experience by reducing time and physical costs.
 


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