D.r Morad Kavianirad, D.r Asiyeh Sephvand,
Volume 0, Issue 0 (3-1921)
Abstract
The water transfer of Lorestan province to desert areas, mismanagement of water resources, lowering of underground water level and reduction of surface water have created many hydropolitical challenges in this province and Lorestan is facing hydropolitical challenges in its basins. He has built a river in front of him. Identifying these challenges now and in the future can prevent future problems and crises. In the current research, the aim is to analyze the hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province using the future research approach. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and mixed method (quantitative and qualitative). The statistical community was experts/experts in water, economic, political issues and geographic and social science researchers. Using the non-probability sampling method, 30 experts were selected by targeted sound and theoretical saturation. To collect the data, the questionnaire of mutual effects of future research was used. Structural model and MICMAC software were used to analyze the data. The results of the research showed the forced migration of young people to industrial and desert areas (+23), the creation of conflicts in virtual networks regarding water resources and its transfer (+23), the decrease in the production of products due to water scarcity (+15), the increase Conflict between individuals and water exploiting groups (farmers, government, industry) (+13), occurrence of local and ethnic conflict and strife over water resources (+13), decrease in political security (+13), imbalance in the protection of The environment (+11) and the quantitative and qualitative decline of surface and underground water resources (+6) are the most important hydropolitical challenges of the river basins of Lorestan province. In line with the research, suggestions were given for the current research and future research. The enlightenment of this research, unlike previous studies, is the identification of hydropolitical challenges from the perspective of river basins and the future research approach.
Faeghe Zirdabi Oskouei, Solmaz Babazadeh Oskouei,
Volume 24, Issue 74 (9-2024)
Abstract
The decline of social and economic status and functional and physical disorders of these contexts along with the very severe decline in the quality of the urban environment are among the reasons that have persuaded urban policymakers and planners to provide new strategies and solutions in the face of its problems. Accordingly, the futures research approach can keep peoplechr('39')s eyes open for possible future events, opportunities, and risks; Reduces ambiguities, doubts and erosive concerns of people, increases the ability of society and people to make smart choices. In this regard, the purpose of this study is to investigate the key drivers affecting the promotion of dysfunctional urban contexts with a future research approach in the Sartpooleh neighborhood of Sanandaj. This research is applied in terms of purpose and according to the studied components, the approach is descriptive-analytical method and environmental and Delphi scanning technique has been used to identify variables and indicators. Then, a semi-structured questionnaire was distributed among 45 experts in the field of urban issues. The data were analyzed using MICMAC software. The results showed that the urban system, especially in the worn-out tissue section of Sartpooleh neighborhood (in Sanandaj) is going through unstable conditions. Also, according to the analysis, 19 factors as key drivers such as authoritative management methods to renovate worn-out tissue, centralism, timely injection of funds when renovating worn-out tissue directly and variables focusing on improvement and renovation in comprehensive and detailed plans. Citizenschr('39') right to intervene in construction, paving the way for the entry of the private sector and balancing and achieving social justice were indirectly introduced to improve the quality and performance of worn-out structures.